Combat Edge Intelligence

Dennis Buzukja vs TJ Brown

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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TJ Brown
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TJ Brown

“Downtown”

20-12-0LightweightRDC

1601Solid

Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record20-12-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'9"
70"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dennis BuzukjaNow 1600
If they win+16→ 1616
If they lose-16→ 1584
TJ BrownNow 1601
If they win+12→ 1613
If they lose-12→ 1589

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1599 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1606 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.21
Sig. strikes / min
3.37
43%
Strike accuracy
45%
4.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.89
49%
Strike defense
49%
0.62
Takedown avg.
3.41
27%
Takedown accuracy
58%
75%
Takedown defense
37%
0.21
Submission avg.
1.31

Trajectory

Dennis BuzukjaTJ Brown
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (42%)
KO/TKO
4 (20%)
1 (8%)
Submission
12 (60%)
6 (50%)
Decision
4 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Dennis Buzukja60%
TJ Brown 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dennis Buzukja a 60% favorite over TJ Brown in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans TJ Brown's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1600 vs 1601), separated by just 1 points.

Dennis Buzukja enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Dennis Buzukja finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, TJ Brown 80%.

TJ Brown carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.