Combat Edge Intelligence

Dennis Hallman vs Matt Frevola

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Matt Frevola
us

Matt Frevola

“The Steamrolla”

11-6-1LightweightUFC

1637Solid

Tale of the tape

53-20-2Record11-6-1
MiddleweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
TBDReach71"
181 lbsWeight155 lbs
Victory AthleticsTeamGracie Tampa South

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dennis HallmanNow 1637
If they win+12→ 1649
If they lose-12→ 1625
Matt FrevolaNow 1637
If they win+16→ 1653
If they lose-16→ 1621

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1568 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1680 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.12
Sig. strikes / min
3.37
45%
Strike accuracy
41%
1.96
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.69
44%
Strike defense
57%
1.79
Takedown avg.
2.39
30%
Takedown accuracy
39%
25%
Takedown defense
36%
2.15
Submission avg.
0.96

Trajectory

Dennis HallmanMatt Frevola
165017001750201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (10%)
KO/TKO
4 (36%)
40 (77%)
Submission
3 (27%)
7 (13%)
Decision
4 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Matt Frevola70%
Dennis Hallman 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Matt Frevola a 70% favorite over Dennis Hallman in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dennis Hallman's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1637 vs 1637), separated by just 0 points.

Dennis Hallman enters on a 7-fight loss streak.

Matt Frevola enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Dennis Hallman finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Matt Frevola 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.