Combat Edge Intelligence

Dennis Siver vs Diego Nunes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Diego Nunes
br

Diego Nunes

“The Gun”

24-10-0LightweightCFS

1639Solid

Tale of the tape

23-11-0Record24-10-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'6"
70,0"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
KibojuTeamEvolucao Thai

What's at stake

Dennis Siver is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Diego Nunes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dennis SiverNow 1668
If they win+11→ 1679
If they lose-13→ 1655
Diego NunesNow 1639
If they win+13→ 1652
If they lose-11→ 1628

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1677 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.87
Sig. strikes / min
2.72
32%
Strike accuracy
44%
2.67
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.59
65%
Strike defense
58%
0.87
Takedown avg.
1.18
33%
Takedown accuracy
45%
65%
Takedown defense
65%
0.33
Submission avg.
0.55

Trajectory

Dennis SiverDiego Nunes
16502015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

7 (30%)
KO/TKO
7 (29%)
7 (30%)
Submission
10 (42%)
9 (39%)
Decision
7 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Dennis Siver51%
Diego Nunes 49%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Dennis Siver a 51% favorite over Diego Nunes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Dennis Siver holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1668 to 1639, a 29-point edge.

Dennis Siver finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Diego Nunes 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.