Dennis Siver vs Donald Cerrone
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-11-0Record36-17-0
FeatherweightDivisionWelterweight
5'7"Height6'0"
70,0"Reach73"
145 lbsWeight170 lbs
KibojuTeamBMF Ranch
What's at stake
Donald Cerrone is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Dennis Siver carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1681
If they lose-11→ 1657
If they win+11→ 1721
If they lose-13→ 1697
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1677 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1744 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dennis SiverDonald Cerrone
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Donald Cerrone67%
Dennis Siver 33%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Donald Cerrone a 67% favorite over Dennis Siver in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Donald Cerrone holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1710 to 1668, a 42-point edge.
Donald Cerrone enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Dennis Siver finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Donald Cerrone 75%.
Dennis Siver and Donald Cerrone share 1 common opponent: Conor McGregor.
Donald Cerrone carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.