Combat Edge Intelligence

Dennis Siver vs Gray Maynard

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Gray Maynard
us

Gray Maynard

“The Bully”

13-7-1FeatherweightUFC

1618Solid

Tale of the tape

23-11-0Record13-7-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'8"
70,0"Reach70,0"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
KibojuTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy

What's at stake

Dennis Siver is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Gray Maynard carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dennis SiverNow 1668
If they win+10→ 1678
If they lose-14→ 1654
Gray MaynardNow 1618
If they win+18→ 1636
If they lose-14→ 1604

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1677 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.87
Sig. strikes / min
1.92
32%
Strike accuracy
33%
2.67
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.64
65%
Strike defense
67%
0.87
Takedown avg.
2.91
33%
Takedown accuracy
48%
65%
Takedown defense
81%
0.33
Submission avg.
0.70

Trajectory

Dennis SiverGray Maynard
160016502015201620172018

Win method breakdown

7 (30%)
KO/TKO
2 (15%)
7 (30%)
Submission
0 (0%)
9 (39%)
Decision
11 (85%)

Combat Edge model read

Dennis Siver56%
Gray Maynard 44%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Dennis Siver a 56% favorite over Gray Maynard in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Dennis Siver holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1668 to 1618, a 50-point edge.

Dennis Siver finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Gray Maynard 15%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.