Combat Edge Intelligence

Dennis Siver vs Manny Gamburyan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-11-0Record15-10-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'5"
70,0"Reach67.00
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
KibojuTeamTeam Hayastan

What's at stake

Dennis Siver is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Manny Gamburyan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dennis SiverNow 1668
If they win+11→ 1679
If they lose-13→ 1655
Manny GamburyanNow 1634
If they win+18→ 1652
If they lose-14→ 1620

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1677 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1655 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.87
Sig. strikes / min
2.13
32%
Strike accuracy
42%
2.67
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.83
65%
Strike defense
56%
0.87
Takedown avg.
3.26
33%
Takedown accuracy
34%
65%
Takedown defense
69%
0.33
Submission avg.
0.73

Trajectory

Dennis SiverManny Gamburyan
1650201520162017

Win method breakdown

7 (30%)
KO/TKO
2 (13%)
7 (30%)
Submission
7 (47%)
9 (39%)
Decision
6 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Dennis Siver53%
Manny Gamburyan 47%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Dennis Siver a 53% favorite over Manny Gamburyan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Dennis Siver holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1668 to 1634, a 34-point edge.

Manny Gamburyan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Dennis Siver finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Manny Gamburyan 60%.

Dennis Siver and Manny Gamburyan share 1 common opponent: Diego Nunes.

Dennis Siver carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision - Unanimous · 2012
Diego Nunes
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2011