Combat Edge Intelligence

Dennis Siver vs Matt Wiman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Matt Wiman
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Matt Wiman

“Handsome”

16-10-0LightweightUFC

1604Solid

Tale of the tape

23-11-0Record16-10-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'10"
70,0"Reach68,0"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
KibojuTeamSkrap Pack

What's at stake

Dennis Siver is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Matt Wiman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dennis SiverNow 1668
If they win+10→ 1678
If they lose-14→ 1654
Matt WimanNow 1604
If they win+14→ 1618
If they lose-10→ 1594

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1677 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1638 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.87
Sig. strikes / min
3.17
32%
Strike accuracy
50%
2.67
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.57
65%
Strike defense
51%
0.87
Takedown avg.
2.13
33%
Takedown accuracy
38%
65%
Takedown defense
56%
0.33
Submission avg.
1.54

Trajectory

Dennis SiverMatt Wiman
16001650201520162017201820192020

Win method breakdown

7 (30%)
KO/TKO
4 (25%)
7 (30%)
Submission
5 (31%)
9 (39%)
Decision
7 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Dennis Siver58%
Matt Wiman 42%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Dennis Siver a 58% favorite over Matt Wiman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Dennis Siver holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1668 to 1604, a 64-point edge.

Matt Wiman enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Dennis Siver finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Matt Wiman 56%.

Dennis Siver carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.