Combat Edge Intelligence

Dennis Siver vs Melvin Guillard

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Melvin Guillard
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Melvin Guillard

“The Young Assassin”

32-22-2WelterweightUCL

1521Average

Tale of the tape

23-11-0Record32-22-2
FeatherweightDivisionWelterweight
5'7"Height5'9"
70,0"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight170 lbs
KibojuTeamGenesis Training Center

What's at stake

Dennis Siver is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Melvin Guillard carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dennis SiverNow 1668
If they win+7→ 1675
If they lose-17→ 1651
Melvin GuillardNow 1521
If they win+17→ 1538
If they lose-7→ 1514

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1677 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.87
Sig. strikes / min
2.96
32%
Strike accuracy
41%
2.67
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.85
65%
Strike defense
66%
0.87
Takedown avg.
1.30
33%
Takedown accuracy
64%
65%
Takedown defense
61%
0.33
Submission avg.
0.19

Trajectory

Dennis SiverMelvin Guillard
15501600165020152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (30%)
KO/TKO
21 (66%)
7 (30%)
Submission
2 (6%)
9 (39%)
Decision
9 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Dennis Siver75%
Melvin Guillard 25%Elo baseline: 70%

The Combat Edge model makes Dennis Siver a 75% favorite over Melvin Guillard in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).

Dennis Siver holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1668 to 1521, a 147-point edge.

Melvin Guillard enters on a 10-fight loss streak.

Dennis Siver finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Melvin Guillard 72%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.