Combat Edge Intelligence

Dennis Siver vs Nam Phan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Nam Phan
us

Nam Phan

21-17-0FeatherweightACB

1539Average

Tale of the tape

23-11-0Record21-17-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'6"
70,0"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight141 lbs
KibojuTeamNam Phan MMA Academy

What's at stake

Dennis Siver is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Nam Phan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dennis SiverNow 1668
If they win+8→ 1676
If they lose-16→ 1652
Nam PhanNow 1539
If they win+16→ 1555
If they lose-8→ 1531

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1677 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.87
Sig. strikes / min
4.52
32%
Strike accuracy
38%
2.67
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.55
65%
Strike defense
59%
0.87
Takedown avg.
0.18
33%
Takedown accuracy
18%
65%
Takedown defense
61%
0.33
Submission avg.
0.18

Trajectory

Dennis SiverNam Phan
155016001650201520162017

Win method breakdown

7 (30%)
KO/TKO
8 (38%)
7 (30%)
Submission
6 (29%)
9 (39%)
Decision
7 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Dennis Siver69%
Nam Phan 31%Elo baseline: 68%

The Combat Edge model makes Dennis Siver a 69% favorite over Nam Phan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).

Dennis Siver holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1668 to 1539, a 129-point edge.

Nam Phan enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Dennis Siver finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Nam Phan 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.