Combat Edge Intelligence

Dennis Siver vs Nate Mohr

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Nate Mohr
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Nate Mohr

9-7-0LightweightTeam Curran MMA

1524Average

Tale of the tape

23-11-0Record9-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'9"
70,0"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
KibojuTeamTeam Curran

What's at stake

Dennis Siver is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Nate Mohr carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dennis SiverNow 1668
If they win+7→ 1675
If they lose-17→ 1651
Nate MohrNow 1524
If they win+22→ 1546
If they lose-10→ 1514

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1677 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.87
Sig. strikes / min
3.79
32%
Strike accuracy
42%
2.67
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.50
65%
Strike defense
75%
0.87
Takedown avg.
0.45
33%
Takedown accuracy
50%
65%
Takedown defense
71%
0.33
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Dennis SiverNate Mohr
150015501600165020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017

Win method breakdown

7 (30%)
KO/TKO
8 (89%)
7 (30%)
Submission
0 (0%)
9 (39%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Dennis Siver70%
Nate Mohr 30%Elo baseline: 70%

The Combat Edge model makes Dennis Siver a 70% favorite over Nate Mohr in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).

Dennis Siver holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1668 to 1524, a 144-point edge.

Dennis Siver finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Nate Mohr 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.