Combat Edge Intelligence

Dennis Siver vs Tatsuya Kawajiri

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

23-11-0Record37-14-2
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'7"
70,0"Reach69.00
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
KibojuTeamT-Blood

What's at stake

Tatsuya Kawajiri is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Dennis Siver carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dennis SiverNow 1668
If they win+14→ 1682
If they lose-10→ 1658
Tatsuya KawajiriNow 1727
If they win+10→ 1737
If they lose-14→ 1713

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1677 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1655 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.87
Sig. strikes / min
2.04
32%
Strike accuracy
45%
2.67
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.01
65%
Strike defense
51%
0.87
Takedown avg.
3.63
33%
Takedown accuracy
49%
65%
Takedown defense
64%
0.33
Submission avg.
1.12

Trajectory

Dennis SiverTatsuya Kawajiri
1650170017502015201620172018

Win method breakdown

7 (30%)
KO/TKO
12 (33%)
7 (30%)
Submission
10 (28%)
9 (39%)
Decision
14 (39%)

Combat Edge model read

Tatsuya Kawajiri64%
Dennis Siver 36%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Tatsuya Kawajiri a 64% favorite over Dennis Siver in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Tatsuya Kawajiri holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1727 to 1668, a 59-point edge.

Dennis Siver finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Tatsuya Kawajiri 61%.

Dennis Siver and Tatsuya Kawajiri share 1 common opponent: Cub Swanson.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossKO/TKO · 2013
Cub Swanson
LossDEC · 2016