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Combat Edge Intelligence

Denys Bondar vs Eduardo Castro

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

14-5-0Record15-7-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
69"Reach66"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
YodTeamCarioca Academy· 1618 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Denys BondarNow 1610
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594
Eduardo CastroNow 1608
If they win+16→ 1624
If they lose-16→ 1592

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.59
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
51%
Strike accuracy
Not available
5.16
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
57%
Strike defense
Not available
3.99
Takedown avg.
Not available
58%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
63%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Denys BondarEduardo Castro
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (29%)
KO/TKO
3 (20%)
10 (71%)
Submission
8 (53%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Denys Bondar and Eduardo Castro within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1610 vs 1608), separated by just 2 points.

Denys Bondar enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Denys Bondar finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Eduardo Castro 73%.

Denys Bondar carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.