Combat Edge Intelligence

Denys Bondar vs Malcolm Gordon

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-5-0Record14-8-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
69"Reach71"
125 lbsWeight128 lbs
YodTeamAdrenaline Training Center

What's at stake

Denys Bondar is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Malcolm Gordon carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Denys BondarNow 1610
If they win+15→ 1625
If they lose-17→ 1593
Malcolm GordonNow 1589
If they win+17→ 1606
If they lose-15→ 1574

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1606 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.59
Sig. strikes / min
2.50
51%
Strike accuracy
45%
5.16
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2
57%
Strike defense
44%
3.99
Takedown avg.
1.72
58%
Takedown accuracy
36%
63%
Takedown defense
27%
0
Submission avg.
1.03

Trajectory

Denys BondarMalcolm Gordon
16001650202220232024

Win method breakdown

4 (29%)
KO/TKO
5 (36%)
10 (71%)
Submission
6 (43%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Denys Bondar56%
Malcolm Gordon 44%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Denys Bondar a 56% favorite over Malcolm Gordon in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Denys Bondar holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1610 to 1589, a 21-point edge.

Denys Bondar enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Malcolm Gordon enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Denys Bondar finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Malcolm Gordon 79%.

Malcolm Gordon carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.