Combat Edge Intelligence

Denys Bondar vs Ricardo Lemos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-5-0Record5-0-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
69"Reach-
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
YodTeamCM System· 1632 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Denys BondarNow 1610
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594
Ricardo LemosNow 1607
If they win+24→ 1631
If they lose-24→ 1583

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.59
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
51%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.16
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
57%
Strike defense
TBD
3.99
Takedown avg.
TBD
58%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
63%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Denys BondarRicardo Lemos
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (29%)
KO/TKO
1 (20%)
10 (71%)
Submission
4 (80%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Ricardo Lemos66%
Denys Bondar 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ricardo Lemos a 66% favorite over Denys Bondar in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Denys Bondar's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1610 vs 1607), separated by just 3 points.

Denys Bondar enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Ricardo Lemos enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Denys Bondar finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Ricardo Lemos 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.