Combat Edge Intelligence

Denzel Freeman vs Jeff Hughes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jeff Hughes
us

Jeff Hughes

“Lights Out”

10-4-0HeavyweightUFC

1623Solid

Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record10-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
78"Reach40,0"
262 lbsWeight253 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Denzel FreemanNow 1628
If they win+24→ 1652
If they lose-24→ 1604
Jeff HughesNow 1623
If they win+16→ 1639
If they lose-16→ 1607

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1558 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.27
Sig. strikes / min
3.95
62%
Strike accuracy
51%
2.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.67
61%
Strike defense
61%
0
Takedown avg.
0.71
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
0%
Takedown defense
45%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Denzel FreemanJeff Hughes
155016001650201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (57%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
1 (14%)
Submission
1 (10%)
2 (29%)
Decision
5 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Denzel Freeman70%
Jeff Hughes 30%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Denzel Freeman a 70% favorite over Jeff Hughes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1628 vs 1623), separated by just 5 points.

Jeff Hughes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Denzel Freeman finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Jeff Hughes 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.