Denzel Freeman vs Mario Neto
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record13-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
78"ReachTBD
262 lbsWeight229 lbs
BlackziliansTeamMario Sukata Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1651
If they lose-24→ 1603
If they win+16→ 1644
If they lose-16→ 1612
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1557 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Denzel FreemanMario Neto
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Denzel Freeman60%
Mario Neto 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Denzel Freeman a 60% favorite over Mario Neto in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mario Neto's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1628), separated by just 1 points.
Mario Neto enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Denzel Freeman finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Mario Neto 77%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.