Combat Edge Intelligence

Denzel Freeman vs Thomas Petersen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record11-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
78"Reach74"
262 lbsWeight257 lbs
BlackziliansTeamSpartan MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Denzel FreemanNow 1628
If they win+24→ 1652
If they lose-24→ 1604
Thomas PetersenNow 1625
If they win+16→ 1641
If they lose-16→ 1609

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1558 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1627 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.27
Sig. strikes / min
3.10
62%
Strike accuracy
60%
2.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.61
61%
Strike defense
55%
0
Takedown avg.
3.01
TBD
Takedown accuracy
43%
0%
Takedown defense
88%
0
Submission avg.
0.38

Trajectory

Denzel FreemanThomas Petersen
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (57%)
KO/TKO
7 (64%)
1 (14%)
Submission
1 (9%)
2 (29%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Denzel Freeman and Thomas Petersen within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1628 vs 1625), separated by just 3 points.

Denzel Freeman finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Thomas Petersen 73%.

Denzel Freeman carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.