Combat Edge Intelligence

Dequan Townsend vs Devin Clark

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Devin Clark
us

Devin Clark

“Brown Bear”

14-9-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1610Solid

Tale of the tape

26-13-0Record14-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'0"
79,0"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Murcielago MMA· 1703 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamElevation Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dequan TownsendNow 1619
If they win+12→ 1631
If they lose-12→ 1607
Devin ClarkNow 1610
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1680 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.23
Sig. strikes / min
3.03
35%
Strike accuracy
54%
3.92
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.24
39%
Strike defense
44%
0
Takedown avg.
2.17
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
47%
Takedown defense
59%
0
Submission avg.
0.08

Trajectory

Dequan TownsendDevin Clark
16001650202220232024

Win method breakdown

14 (54%)
KO/TKO
4 (29%)
5 (19%)
Submission
1 (7%)
7 (27%)
Decision
9 (64%)

Combat Edge model read

Devin Clark60%
Dequan Townsend 40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Devin Clark a 60% favorite over Dequan Townsend in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dequan Townsend's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1619 vs 1610), separated by just 9 points.

Dequan Townsend enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Devin Clark enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Dequan Townsend finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Devin Clark 36%.

Dequan Townsend carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.