Combat Edge Intelligence

Dequan Townsend vs Duško Todorović

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

26-13-0Record13-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'1"
79,0"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Murcielago MMATeamSecutor

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dequan TownsendNow 1619
If they win+12→ 1631
If they lose-12→ 1607
Duško TodorovićNow 1621
If they win+16→ 1637
If they lose-16→ 1605

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1546 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1639 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.23
Sig. strikes / min
4.73
35%
Strike accuracy
58%
3.92
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.40
39%
Strike defense
48%
0
Takedown avg.
1.77
TBD
Takedown accuracy
21%
47%
Takedown defense
43%
0
Submission avg.
0.35

Trajectory

Dequan TownsendDuško Todorović
16001650202320242025

Win method breakdown

14 (54%)
KO/TKO
8 (62%)
5 (19%)
Submission
4 (31%)
7 (27%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Duško Todorović62%
Dequan Townsend 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Duško Todorović a 62% favorite over Dequan Townsend in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1619 vs 1621), separated by just 2 points.

Dequan Townsend enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Dequan Townsend finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Duško Todorović 92%.

Dequan Townsend carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.