Combat Edge Intelligence

Dequan Townsend vs Duško Todorović

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

26-13-0Record13-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'1"
79,0"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Murcielago MMA· 1703 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamSecutor

What's at stake

Dequan Townsend is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Duško Todorović carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dequan TownsendNow 1619
If they win+11→ 1630
If they lose-13→ 1606
Duško TodorovićNow 1600
If they win+17→ 1617
If they lose-15→ 1585

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1638 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.23
Sig. strikes / min
4.73
35%
Strike accuracy
58%
3.92
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.40
39%
Strike defense
48%
0
Takedown avg.
1.77
TBD
Takedown accuracy
21%
47%
Takedown defense
43%
0
Submission avg.
0.35

Trajectory

Dequan TownsendDuško Todorović
16002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

14 (54%)
KO/TKO
8 (62%)
5 (19%)
Submission
4 (31%)
7 (27%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Duško Todorović60%
Dequan Townsend 40%Elo baseline: 47%

The Combat Edge model makes Duško Todorović a 60% favorite over Dequan Townsend in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dequan Townsend's way (47%).

Dequan Townsend holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1619 to 1600, a 19-point edge.

Dequan Townsend enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Dequan Townsend finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Duško Todorović 92%.

Dequan Townsend carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.