Combat Edge Intelligence

Dequan Townsend vs Julien Leblanc

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

26-13-0Record10-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'2"
79,0"Reach-
185 lbsWeight184 lbs
Murcielago MMATeamPatenaude Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dequan TownsendNow 1619
If they win+12→ 1631
If they lose-12→ 1607
Julien LeblancNow 1619
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1546 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.23
Sig. strikes / min
0
35%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.92
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
39%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
47%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Dequan TownsendJulien Leblanc
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

14 (54%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
5 (19%)
Submission
4 (40%)
7 (27%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Julien Leblanc70%
Dequan Townsend 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Julien Leblanc a 70% favorite over Dequan Townsend in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dequan Townsend's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1619 vs 1619), separated by just 0 points.

Dequan Townsend enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Dequan Townsend finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Julien Leblanc 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.