Derek Brunson vs Dricus Du Plessis
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-9-0Record24-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
77,0"Reach76″
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamTeam CIT· 1712 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Dricus Du Plessis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Derek Brunson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1770
If they lose-9→ 1746
If they win+9→ 1862
If they lose-15→ 1838
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1744 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1779 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Derek BrunsonDricus Du Plessis
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dricus Du Plessis84%
Derek Brunson 16%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Dricus Du Plessis a 84% favorite over Derek Brunson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Dricus Du Plessis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1853 to 1755, a 98-point edge.
Derek Brunson finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Dricus Du Plessis 83%.
Derek Brunson and Dricus Du Plessis share 2 common opponents: Darren Till and Israel Adesanya.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.