Derek Brunson vs Ed Herman
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-9-0Record26-16-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'2"
77,0"ReachTBD
186 lbsWeight205 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamAmerican Top Team Portland
What's at stake
Derek Brunson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Ed Herman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1763
If they lose-16→ 1739
If they win+16→ 1658
If they lose-8→ 1634
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1744 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1640 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Derek BrunsonEd Herman
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Derek Brunson78%
Ed Herman 22%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Derek Brunson a 78% favorite over Ed Herman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Derek Brunson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1755 to 1642, a 113-point edge.
Ed Herman enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Derek Brunson finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Ed Herman 81%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.