Derek Brunson vs Edmen Shahbazyan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-9-0Record17-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'2"
77,0"Reach75"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Derek Brunson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Edmen Shahbazyan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1767
If they lose-13→ 1743
If they win+17→ 1749
If they lose-15→ 1717
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1745 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1681 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Derek BrunsonEdmen Shahbazyan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Edmen Shahbazyan60%
Derek Brunson 40%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Edmen Shahbazyan a 60% favorite over Derek Brunson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Derek Brunson's way (47%).
Derek Brunson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1756 to 1732, a 24-point edge.
Derek Brunson finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Edmen Shahbazyan 82%.
Derek Brunson carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.