Derek Brunson vs Jason Jackson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-9-0Record20-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
77,0"Reach79"
186 lbsWeight182 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1767
If they lose-12→ 1743
If they win+12→ 1767
If they lose-12→ 1743
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1744 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1713 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Derek BrunsonJason Jackson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jason Jackson70%
Derek Brunson 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jason Jackson a 70% favorite over Derek Brunson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Derek Brunson's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1755 vs 1755), separated by just 0 points.
Derek Brunson finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Jason Jackson 55%.
Derek Brunson and Jason Jackson share 1 common opponent: Ray Cooper III.
Jason Jackson carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.