Combat Edge Intelligence

Derek Brunson vs Uriah Hall

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Uriah Hall
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Uriah Hall

“Primetime”

17-11-0MiddleweightUFC

1697Good

Tale of the tape

24-9-0Record17-11-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
77,0"Reach79"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamFortis MMA

What's at stake

Derek Brunson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Uriah Hall carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Derek BrunsonNow 1755
If they win+10→ 1765
If they lose-14→ 1741
Uriah HallNow 1697
If they win+14→ 1711
If they lose-10→ 1687

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1744 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1725 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.51
Sig. strikes / min
3.23
47%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.05
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.85
51%
Strike defense
54%
3.14
Takedown avg.
0.54
33%
Takedown accuracy
39%
86%
Takedown defense
64%
0.61
Submission avg.
0.15

Trajectory

Derek BrunsonUriah Hall
170017502020202120222023

Win method breakdown

12 (50%)
KO/TKO
13 (76%)
4 (17%)
Submission
1 (6%)
8 (33%)
Decision
3 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Derek Brunson60%
Uriah Hall 40%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Derek Brunson a 60% favorite over Uriah Hall in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Derek Brunson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1755 to 1697, a 58-point edge.

Uriah Hall enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Derek Brunson finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Uriah Hall 82%.

Uriah Hall carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.