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Combat Edge Intelligence

Derek Campos vs Gideon Ray

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Derek Campos
us

Derek Campos

“The Iron Stallion”

20-16-0MiddleweightFFC

1485Average

Tale of the tape

20-16-0Record17-15-1
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'10"
68.5"ReachTBD
176 lbsWeight170 lbs
Victory Combat Sports AcademyTeamMMA Masters Chicago

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Derek CamposNow 1485
If they win+12→ 1497
If they lose-12→ 1473
Gideon RayNow 1489
If they win+12→ 1501
If they lose-12→ 1477

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1592 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.08
Not available
Strike accuracy
40%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.58
Not available
Strike defense
54%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.49
Not available
Takedown accuracy
100%
Not available
Takedown defense
0%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Derek CamposGideon Ray
150015502011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (30%)
KO/TKO
8 (47%)
5 (25%)
Submission
8 (47%)
9 (45%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

Derek Campos66%
Gideon Ray 34%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Derek Campos a 66% favorite over Gideon Ray in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gideon Ray's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1485 vs 1489), separated by just 4 points.

Derek Campos enters on a 8-fight loss streak.

Gideon Ray enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Derek Campos finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Gideon Ray 94%.

Derek Campos and Gideon Ray share 1 common opponent: Daniel Straus.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2019
Daniel Straus
LossDecision · 2010