Derek Campos vs Jason Thacker
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-16-0Record0-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height6'0"
68.5"ReachTBD
176 lbsWeight185 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1497
If they lose-12→ 1473
If they win+24→ 1507
If they lose-24→ 1459
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1592 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1645 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Derek CamposJason Thacker
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Derek Campos63%
Jason Thacker 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Derek Campos a 63% favorite over Jason Thacker in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1485 vs 1483), separated by just 2 points.
Derek Campos enters on a 8-fight loss streak.
Derek Campos finishes 55% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.