Derek Downey vs Edson Silva
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-4-0Record5-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Victory MMATeamBrasa Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1540
If they lose-16→ 1508
If they win+16→ 1540
If they lose-16→ 1508
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1506 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Derek DowneyEdson Silva
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Edson Silva60%
Derek Downey 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Edson Silva a 60% favorite over Derek Downey in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Derek Downey's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1524 vs 1524), separated by just 0 points.
Edson Silva enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Derek Downey finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Edson Silva 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.