Derek Downey vs Mauricio Barbosa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-4-0Record2-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"HeightTBD
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
Victory MMATeamUniversal MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1540
If they lose-16→ 1508
If they win+24→ 1547
If they lose-24→ 1499
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1506 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Derek DowneyMauricio Barbosa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mauricio Barbosa67%
Derek Downey 33%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mauricio Barbosa a 67% favorite over Derek Downey in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Derek Downey's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1524 vs 1523), separated by just 1 points.
Derek Downey finishes 91% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.