Derek Downey vs Nick Catone
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
11-4-0Record10-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Victory MMATeamNick Catone MMA & Fitness
What's at stake
Nick Catone is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Derek Downey carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1544
If they lose-12→ 1512
If they win+12→ 1631
If they lose-20→ 1599
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1506 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Derek DowneyNick Catone
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nick Catone70%
Derek Downey 30%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Nick Catone a 70% favorite over Derek Downey in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Nick Catone holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1619 to 1524, a 95-point edge.
Derek Downey finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Nick Catone 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.