Derick Borges vs Fernando Noriega
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Derick Borges
Elo1620Solid
Tale of the tape
11-4-0Record9-6-0
TBDDivisionFeatherweight
TBDHeight5'9"
TBDReachTBD
TBDWeight145 lbs
TeamChute Boxe Diego Lima
What's at stake
Derick Borges is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Fernando Noriega carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1632
If they lose-20→ 1600
If they win+20→ 1542
If they lose-12→ 1510
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1506 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Derick BorgesFernando Noriega
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Derick Borges58%
Fernando Noriega 42%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Derick Borges a 58% favorite over Fernando Noriega in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Derick Borges holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1620 to 1522, a 98-point edge.
Derick Borges enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Fernando Noriega 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.