Deron Winn vs Eric Spicely
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-3-0Record13-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'6"Height6'1"
TBDReach73,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Kickboxing AcademyTeamSyndicate MMA
What's at stake
Deron Winn is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Eric Spicely carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1609
If they lose-19→ 1577
If they win+19→ 1556
If they lose-13→ 1524
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1570 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Deron WinnEric Spicely
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Deron Winn72%
Eric Spicely 28%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Deron Winn a 72% favorite over Eric Spicely in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Deron Winn holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1596 to 1537, a 59-point edge.
Deron Winn finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Eric Spicely 85%.
Deron Winn and Eric Spicely share 2 common opponents: Gerald Meerschaert and Darren Stewart.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.