Deron Winn vs Gerald Meerschaert
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-3-0Record37-22-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'6"Height6'1"
TBDReach 77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Kickboxing Academy· 1639 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Gerald Meerschaert is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Deron Winn carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1613
If they lose-14→ 1581
If they win+11→ 1645
If they lose-13→ 1621
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1567 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1681 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Deron WinnGerald Meerschaert
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gerald Meerschaert69%
Deron Winn 31%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Gerald Meerschaert a 69% favorite over Deron Winn in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Gerald Meerschaert holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1634 to 1595, a 39-point edge.
Gerald Meerschaert enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Deron Winn finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Gerald Meerschaert 95%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.