Deron Winn vs Rene Pessoa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-3-0Record26-13-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'6"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
American Kickboxing Academy· 1639 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamPower Lotus Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1611
If they lose-16→ 1579
If they win+12→ 1608
If they lose-12→ 1584
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1567 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1609 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Deron WinnRene Pessoa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rene Pessoa67%
Deron Winn 33%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Rene Pessoa a 67% favorite over Deron Winn in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1595 vs 1596), separated by just 1 points.
Rene Pessoa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Deron Winn finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Rene Pessoa 92%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.