Deron Winn vs Trent Miller
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-3-0Record10-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'6"Height5'9"
TBDReach72"
185 lbsWeight184 lbs
American Kickboxing Academy· 1641 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Trent Miller is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Deron Winn carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1613
If they lose-15→ 1581
If they win+15→ 1630
If they lose-17→ 1598
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1568 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Deron WinnTrent Miller
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Trent Miller84%
Deron Winn 16%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Trent Miller a 84% favorite over Deron Winn in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Trent Miller holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1615 to 1596, a 19-point edge.
Trent Miller enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Deron Winn finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Trent Miller 90%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.