Derrick Burnsed vs Mateusz Makarowski
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-3-0Record14-7-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
TBDReach72"
154 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 20 ratedTeamWCA Fight Team· 1600 avg Elo · 8 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1514 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Derrick BurnsedMateusz Makarowski
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mateusz Makarowski59%
Derrick Burnsed 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mateusz Makarowski a 59% favorite over Derrick Burnsed in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Derrick Burnsed's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1601 vs 1601), separated by just 0 points.
Mateusz Makarowski enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Derrick Burnsed finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Mateusz Makarowski 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.