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Combat Edge Intelligence

Derrick Lewis vs Jailton Almeida

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Derrick Lewis
us

Derrick Lewis

“The Black Beast”

29-14-0HeavyweightUFC

1745Good

Tale of the tape

29-14-0Record22-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'4"
79"Reach79"
264 lbsWeight241 lbs
Main Street Boxing & Muay ThaiTeamGalpao da Luta· 1679 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Derrick LewisNow 1745
If they win+12→ 1757
If they lose-12→ 1733
Jailton AlmeidaNow 1755
If they win+12→ 1767
If they lose-12→ 1743

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1716 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1734 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.46
Sig. strikes / min
2.23
50%
Strike accuracy
63%
2.57
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.30
40%
Strike defense
43%
0.55
Takedown avg.
5.64
26%
Takedown accuracy
3%
52%
Takedown defense
60%
0
Submission avg.
1.68

Trajectory

Derrick LewisJailton Almeida
17501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

24 (83%)
KO/TKO
8 (36%)
1 (3%)
Submission
13 (59%)
4 (14%)
Decision
1 (5%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Derrick Lewis and Jailton Almeida within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1745 vs 1755), separated by just 10 points.

Derrick Lewis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jailton Almeida enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Derrick Lewis finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Jailton Almeida 95%.

Derrick Lewis and Jailton Almeida share 1 common opponent: Serghei Spivac.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossSubmission · 2023
Serghei Spivac
Win TKO · 2025