Derrick Lewis vs Kirill Kornilov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-14-0Record21-3-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'5"
79"ReachRussia
264 lbsWeight261 lbs
Main Street Boxing & Muay ThaiTeamSech Pro· 1665 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1757
If they lose-12→ 1733
If they win+12→ 1758
If they lose-12→ 1734
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1716 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1600 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Derrick LewisKirill Kornilov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Derrick Lewis58%
Kirill Kornilov 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Derrick Lewis a 58% favorite over Kirill Kornilov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kirill Kornilov's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1745 vs 1746), separated by just 1 points.
Derrick Lewis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Kirill Kornilov enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Derrick Lewis finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Kirill Kornilov 62%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.