Derrick Lewis vs Mario Pinto
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-14-0Record12-0-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'5"
79"Reach79"
264 lbsWeight265 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1757
If they lose-12→ 1733
If they win+16→ 1758
If they lose-16→ 1726
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1718 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1556 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Derrick LewisMario Pinto
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mario Pinto62%
Derrick Lewis 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mario Pinto a 62% favorite over Derrick Lewis in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Derrick Lewis's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1745 vs 1742), separated by just 3 points.
Derrick Lewis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Mario Pinto enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Derrick Lewis finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Mario Pinto 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.