Derrick Lewis vs Mark Hunt
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-14-0Record13-14-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height5'10"
79"Reach72"
264 lbsWeight265 lbs
Main Street Boxing & Muay ThaiTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Derrick Lewis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Mark Hunt carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1752
If they lose-16→ 1728
If they win+16→ 1641
If they lose-8→ 1617
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1717 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1704 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Derrick LewisMark Hunt
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Derrick Lewis84%
Mark Hunt 16%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Derrick Lewis a 84% favorite over Mark Hunt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Derrick Lewis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1744 to 1625, a 119-point edge.
Derrick Lewis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Mark Hunt enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Derrick Lewis finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Mark Hunt 77%.
Derrick Lewis carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.