Derrick Lewis vs Shamil Abdurakhimov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-14-0Record20-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
79"Reach76"
264 lbsWeight263 lbs
Main Street Boxing & Muay ThaiTeamPeresvet FT
What's at stake
Derrick Lewis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Shamil Abdurakhimov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1754
If they lose-15→ 1730
If they win+15→ 1665
If they lose-9→ 1641
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1718 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1684 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Derrick LewisShamil Abdurakhimov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Derrick Lewis78%
Shamil Abdurakhimov 22%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Derrick Lewis a 78% favorite over Shamil Abdurakhimov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Derrick Lewis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1745 to 1650, a 95-point edge.
Derrick Lewis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Shamil Abdurakhimov enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Derrick Lewis finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Shamil Abdurakhimov 65%.
Derrick Lewis and Shamil Abdurakhimov share 3 common opponents: Jailton Almeida, Sergei Pavlovich and Chris Daukaus.
Derrick Lewis carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.