Derrick Lewis vs Shawn Jordan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-14-0Record19-9-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'0"
79"ReachTBD
264 lbsWeight265 lbs
Main Street Boxing & Muay ThaiTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Derrick Lewis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Shawn Jordan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1753
If they lose-15→ 1729
If they win+21→ 1661
If they lose-11→ 1629
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1717 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1627 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Derrick LewisShawn Jordan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Derrick Lewis79%
Shawn Jordan 21%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Derrick Lewis a 79% favorite over Shawn Jordan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Derrick Lewis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1744 to 1640, a 104-point edge.
Derrick Lewis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Shawn Jordan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Derrick Lewis finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Shawn Jordan 95%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.