Derrick Lewis vs Tai Tuivasa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-14-0Record14-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
79"Reach75"
264 lbsWeight265 lbs
What's at stake
Derrick Lewis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Tai Tuivasa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1752
If they lose-17→ 1728
If they win+22→ 1620
If they lose-10→ 1588
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1716 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1714 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Derrick LewisTai Tuivasa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Derrick Lewis74%
Tai Tuivasa 26%Elo baseline: 70%
The Combat Edge model makes Derrick Lewis a 74% favorite over Tai Tuivasa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).
Derrick Lewis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1745 to 1598, a 147-point edge.
Derrick Lewis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Tai Tuivasa enters on a 8-fight loss streak.
Derrick Lewis finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Tai Tuivasa 93%.
Derrick Lewis and Tai Tuivasa share 2 common opponents: Tallison Teixeira and Sergei Pavlovich.
Derrick Lewis carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.