Combat Edge Intelligence

Derrick Lewis vs Travis Browne

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Derrick Lewis
us

Derrick Lewis

“The Black Beast”

29-14-0HeavyweightUFC

1744Good

Tale of the tape

29-14-0Record18-7-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'7"
79"Reach79,0"
264 lbsWeight244 lbs
Main Street Boxing & Muay ThaiTeamGlendale Fighting Club

What's at stake

Derrick Lewis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Travis Browne carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Derrick LewisNow 1744
If they win+10→ 1754
If they lose-14→ 1730
Travis BrowneNow 1696
If they win+14→ 1710
If they lose-10→ 1686

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1717 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1743 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.46
Sig. strikes / min
2.93
50%
Strike accuracy
41%
2.57
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.31
40%
Strike defense
43%
0.55
Takedown avg.
1.21
26%
Takedown accuracy
69%
52%
Takedown defense
75%
0
Submission avg.
0.22

Trajectory

Derrick LewisTravis Browne
17001750201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

24 (83%)
KO/TKO
14 (78%)
1 (3%)
Submission
2 (11%)
4 (14%)
Decision
2 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Derrick Lewis75%
Travis Browne 25%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Derrick Lewis a 75% favorite over Travis Browne in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Derrick Lewis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1744 to 1696, a 48-point edge.

Derrick Lewis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Travis Browne enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Derrick Lewis finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Travis Browne 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.