Combat Edge Intelligence

Des Green vs Michel Prazeres

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Des Green
us

Des Green

“The Predator”

24-8-0LightweightCZMMA

1721Good

Tale of the tape

24-8-0Record27-6-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'6"
73"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight171 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamCoalizao Fight Team

What's at stake

Michel Prazeres is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Des Green carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Des GreenNow 1721
If they win+13→ 1734
If they lose-11→ 1710
Michel PrazeresNow 1755
If they win+11→ 1766
If they lose-13→ 1742

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1626 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.70
Sig. strikes / min
2.38
46%
Strike accuracy
47%
2.51
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.51
69%
Strike defense
58%
1.62
Takedown avg.
3.94
50%
Takedown accuracy
36%
75%
Takedown defense
48%
0
Submission avg.
0.61

Trajectory

Des GreenMichel Prazeres
17001750180020202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

7 (29%)
KO/TKO
1 (4%)
1 (4%)
Submission
11 (41%)
16 (67%)
Decision
15 (56%)

Combat Edge model read

Des Green59%
Michel Prazeres 41%Elo baseline: 45%

The Combat Edge model makes Des Green a 59% favorite over Michel Prazeres in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Michel Prazeres's way (45%).

Michel Prazeres holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1755 to 1721, a 34-point edge.

Des Green enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Michel Prazeres enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Des Green finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Michel Prazeres 44%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.