Combat Edge Intelligence

Des Green vs Rustam Khabilov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Des Green
us

Des Green

“The Predator”

24-8-0LightweightCZMMA

1721Good

Tale of the tape

24-8-0Record24-4-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'8"
73"Reach40,5"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

Rustam Khabilov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Des Green carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Des GreenNow 1721
If they win+14→ 1735
If they lose-10→ 1711
Rustam KhabilovNow 1785
If they win+10→ 1795
If they lose-14→ 1771

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1706 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.70
Sig. strikes / min
1.98
46%
Strike accuracy
34%
2.51
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.16
69%
Strike defense
66%
1.62
Takedown avg.
3.95
50%
Takedown accuracy
42%
75%
Takedown defense
61%
0
Submission avg.
0.09

Trajectory

Des GreenRustam Khabilov
170017501800201720182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

7 (29%)
KO/TKO
4 (17%)
1 (4%)
Submission
5 (21%)
16 (67%)
Decision
15 (63%)

Combat Edge model read

Rustam Khabilov54%
Des Green 46%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Rustam Khabilov a 54% favorite over Des Green in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Rustam Khabilov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1785 to 1721, a 64-point edge.

Des Green enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Des Green finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Rustam Khabilov 38%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.