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Combat Edge Intelligence

Devan Worth vs Trey Waters

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Trey Waters
us

Trey Waters

“The Truth”

10-2-0WelterweightPFL

1679Good

Tale of the tape

5-0-0Record10-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
TBDHeight6'5"
TBDReach77"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Devan WorthNow 1678
If they win+16→ 1694
If they lose-16→ 1662
Trey WatersNow 1679
If they win+16→ 1695
If they lose-16→ 1663

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1501 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1580 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
6.39
Not available
Strike accuracy
44%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.83
Not available
Strike defense
56%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.40
Not available
Takedown accuracy
33%
Not available
Takedown defense
86%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.81

Trajectory

Devan WorthTrey Waters
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (40%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
1 (20%)
Submission
3 (30%)
2 (40%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Trey Waters64%
Devan Worth 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Trey Waters a 64% favorite over Devan Worth in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1678 vs 1679), separated by just 1 points.

Devan Worth enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Devan Worth finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Trey Waters 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.