Combat Edge Intelligence

Devin Clark vs Jake Collier

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Devin Clark
us

Devin Clark

“Brown Bear”

14-9-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1610Solid
Jake Collier
us

Jake Collier

“The Prototype”

14-10-0HeavyweightUFC

1548Average

Tale of the tape

14-9-0Record14-10-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'3"
75"Reach78"
205 lbsWeight257 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamPit MMA

What's at stake

Devin Clark is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Jake Collier carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Devin ClarkNow 1610
If they win+13→ 1623
If they lose-19→ 1591
Jake CollierNow 1548
If they win+19→ 1567
If they lose-13→ 1535

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.03
Sig. strikes / min
5.80
54%
Strike accuracy
44%
3.24
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.08
44%
Strike defense
51%
2.17
Takedown avg.
0.71
33%
Takedown accuracy
33%
59%
Takedown defense
68%
0.08
Submission avg.
0.61

Trajectory

Devin ClarkJake Collier
1550160016502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (29%)
KO/TKO
6 (43%)
1 (7%)
Submission
4 (29%)
9 (64%)
Decision
4 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Devin Clark72%
Jake Collier 28%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Devin Clark a 72% favorite over Jake Collier in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Devin Clark holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1610 to 1548, a 62-point edge.

Devin Clark enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Devin Clark finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Jake Collier 71%.

Jake Collier carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.