Combat Edge Intelligence

Devin Clark vs Jan Błachowicz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Devin Clark
us

Devin Clark

“Brown Bear”

14-9-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1610Solid

Tale of the tape

14-9-0Record29-12-2
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'2"
75"Reach78"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamWCA Fight Team· 1652 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

Jan Błachowicz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Devin Clark carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Devin ClarkNow 1610
If they win+21→ 1631
If they lose-11→ 1599
Jan BłachowiczNow 1733
If they win+8→ 1741
If they lose-16→ 1717

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1759 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.03
Sig. strikes / min
3.55
54%
Strike accuracy
50%
3.24
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.14
44%
Strike defense
52%
2.17
Takedown avg.
0.98
33%
Takedown accuracy
31%
59%
Takedown defense
69%
0.08
Submission avg.
0.36

Trajectory

Devin ClarkJan Błachowicz
160016501700175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (29%)
KO/TKO
9 (31%)
1 (7%)
Submission
9 (31%)
9 (64%)
Decision
11 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Jan Błachowicz72%
Devin Clark 28%Elo baseline: 67%

The Combat Edge model makes Jan Błachowicz a 72% favorite over Devin Clark in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).

Jan Błachowicz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1733 to 1610, a 123-point edge.

Devin Clark enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Devin Clark finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Jan Błachowicz 62%.

Jan Błachowicz carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.